Donald Trump’s history with the Republican Party is mixed: after receiving unflattering reviews during the primary, most Republicans did his bidding throughout his four years in office. However, amid rumors of Republican division, the question of his future in the GOP still remains uncertain.

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According to recent polling data from the Pew Research Center, Donald Trump’s popularity has taken a hit since the riots at the Capitol: 68% of Americans do not want him to remain a significant political figure. But Republicans and Democrats are still vastly divided.

Among Republicans and Republican-leaners, 46% believed that Trump held no responsibility for the events at the Capitol, opposed to 95% of Democrats and Democrat-leaners. This distinction continues to election disinformation as 64% of Republicans/Republican-leaners believe that Trump won the 2020 election. …

It seems so long ago that a large portion of the country was obsessing over two Senate runoff races in Georgia that would determine control of Congress during Joe Biden’s first two years. But there are certainly things that both Democrats and Republicans can learn from the races.

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Georgia is a Purple State.

In 2016, Hillary Clinton supposedly stood a chance in states like Arizona, Iowa, or even Texas that came, in large part, with large margins for Republican victories. At the time, because of changing demographics within the United States, some debated whether we would ever see another Republican president again. …

As we look towards the runoff election and inevitably glue ourselves to the election returns on Tuesday, I think it’s important to note how far the Democratic party has come.

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Last year saw one of the worst crises to come across the United States, made worse by inadequate leadership across the aisle and a dire situation that went unaddressed by half the country. Throughout the past decade or so, our country has polarized further and further, driving cooperation and consensus to the bottom of our legislative agenda and limiting the efficacy of American government altogether.

However, as we head into a new presidential term with a new presidential administration, hopefully focused on unifying an utterly divided country, we must note that there’s a reason that Democrats have been able to take control over a large number of seats seen as uncompetitive only one cycle ago: Bernie Sanders. …

When Donald Trump ascended to the presidency, he vowed to become the dealmaker-in-chief and to cut through all of the bureaucracy to actually get things done. The problem is that that’s the one thing he’s currently failing to do.

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Since November 3rd, Donald Trump has spent the majority of his time categorically denying his loss in the presidential election, despite the Electoral College, the Supreme Court, and several million Americans all voting against him. But as the coronavirus pandemic gets worse and worse and a new virus pops up in the United Kingdom, Trump fails to do the one thing he’s tasked with for the next thirty or so days: be the president.

Although the number of tweets coming from the president’s account has almost certainly increased, he hasn’t been seen in public for a while, meaning he hasn’t yet acknowledged the Russian attack on American servers or any of the risks it poses to national security. And while the vaccine starts to go out across the country, we’re still in a state of crisis: hospitals in Southern California have reached maximum ICU capacity and are only getting worse. …

The president has made it clear that he will never accept the results of this November’s election. After losing by a historic margin, his supporters will now have to wait another four years for another opportunity to reclaim the White House. But that doesn’t mean that this year’s election drama is over.

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Donald Trump’s campaign, led by Rudy Giuliani and his slate of lawyers, have unsuccessfully brought case after case to state courts in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Arizona, and Wisconsin, all with false hope of overturning the election results in those states. …

Over the past thirty years, Democrats have won the popular vote seven of eight times. But that’s worrying. Despite carrying historic margins, Democrats will enter the new year with less seats and legislatures. Why?

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In last month’s election, Joe Biden carried over eighty-one million votes, the most votes for any winning candidate in the history of the United States. That’s a huge victory for Democrats across the country.

Down the ballot, though, it’s a completely different story. Although Democrats have carried healthy margins nationally, there’s a sizable gap between their national support and level of political power. They’ve lost a number of seats in the House and are likely to remain the minority in the Senate.

And it’s not exactly their fault. Since the last presidential election, Republicans haven’t carried the national vote at all, yet they still hold the Senate and are set to take back the House in another two years. Even more indicative is the number of state legislative chambers held by Republicans: holding thirty state legislatures, they will take control of redistricting in a large percentage of states. …

Since most major news networks called the election for Joe Biden, Donald Trump has unsuccessfully denied his defeat. However, a number of Republicans are already clamoring for another election bid, and it’s not exactly unlikely.

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According to one Morning Consult poll, a majority of Republican voters would support Donald Trump if he ran again for the presidency. As the president continuously fails to overturn the results of this election, he’s already looking ahead — evidently to 2024.

According to some Trump insiders, the president is now looking seriously at another election bid in four years. Dome have even floated the idea of him announcing the campaign on the day of Biden’s inauguration; that’s not great for Democrats encouraging unity around their new president.

But for Republican strategists, I don’t think another Trump bid is quite in their interests. There’s a reason why so many Republicans, including prominent figures like John Kasich, Mitt Romney, and the late John McCain, have turned on their party. They’ve realized what’s inevitable: Trump cannot be the future of the Republican party. …

As a self-branded “moderately conservative Democrat,” Joe Manchin certainly hasn’t voted along party lines in his tenure as a West Virginia senator. But with the impending runoff elections in Georgia, he has the potential to dictate the success of President-elect Joe Biden’s potential agenda.

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In what might be an extremely slim majority for the Democrats after Georgia’s January runoff election, the Senate could be split along party lines with Vice President-elect Kamala Harris as the determining vote. In the past, this means defections from party lines could ultimately decide the outcomes of crucial bills as part of a Joe Biden agenda. What does that mean, exactly? …

Democrats should worry about their congressional prospects in a couple of years, which are not great for a Biden agenda.

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Despite the political polarization that arose as a result of the Trump administration, not a single incumbent Republican House member lost their election. And if historical trends continue, Democrats are likely to lose a significant number of House seats next election.

What does that mean, exactly? Democrats need to push as much of their agenda through as possible, or their time in power could be shorter than they hoped.

Why Congress Will Probably Switch Parties

Since World War II, there has only been one midterm election through which the party in the White House gained seats in the House of Representatives; in fact, on average, the presidential party has lost twenty-seven seats during each midterm. …

It’s no secret that Democrats struggled down ballot this election; in a race that was supposed to be the second blue wave, Democrats have lost almost ten seats in the House and have only flipped a single net seat in the Senate. But the most concerning part for Democrats is this: they didn’t take back any state legislatures; that’s going to hurt down the line.

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Since the 2016 election, Democrats have made huge gains across the board, from getting the majority in the house to cutting away at the Republican lead in the Senate. …


Yash Rajpal

Teen writer. Plain and simple.

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